Car scrappage scheme - basic maths

I always apply the ideal, "if it sounds too good to be true, then it usually is!"

When the car scrappage scheme was brought in by the government, it looked too good to be true. Why hadn't it been done before? How similar to the european scrappage plan was it?
Question 1: How does this affect the government?
Of the £2000 discount, the government use taxpayer's money to provide £1000 of the discount, the dealership sells a car, then claims the £1000 back from the government.
Everything sounds ok with that... or does it?

Simple maths - what's the level of price (of a car) before the government returns a profit?
The government has £1000 to recoup (that it pays the dealership out of the taxpayer pot) with VAT being at 17.5% - £1000 is 17.5% of £5715, so for every car under that price the government loses out, for every car above £5715 the government makes a profit on the £1000 it is paying out.
So on a car of £11000 the government recoups £1925 in tax, take off the £1000 IF the customer has a car to scrap with the scheme, the government shows a profit of £925 this is profit off the customer!

Question 2: What does the dealership get out of the deal?
The dealership gets increased interest and increased numbers of car sales going through their books.
Again, this sounds great... or does it?
If you own a business and you were ordered to knock a £1000 off for each customer, what would you do? Would you add an extra £1000 to your prices? Most would and have done!
Add to this the cost of scrapping the old cars, which again falls on your company, you'd be putting up prices by about £1200 to cover your losses.

Using the scheme, the dealerships have increased all their prices, so those using the scrappage scheme are paying the same amount as the price was previously.

Question 3: What does the paying public get out of the deal?
Absolutely nothing!
Those using the scheme, are paying the same prices as before the scheme (Price increased £1200 then given a "discount" from the dealer of £1000) - they often pay more as there is no "trade in" value anymore (cars are now scrapped) - they are also paying more to the government, as the prices increase to stop the dealerships from taking a hit on each scrappage sale, this in turn increases the amount of VAT that becomes payable on the purchase. Any car bought for £5715 or less, the customer saves money, anything above this amount and the government recoups more than it discounts.

How many brand new cars have you seen being sold for £5715?

The bigger issue is with the majority of customers, who don't have a car that qualifies for the car scrappage scheme!
As all the prices rise to cover the dealership's extra £1200 costs (for the discount and to scrap the old cars) those without a car they can use in the scheme now have to pay higher prices, they also have to pay more VAT to the government (as their car price is higher) that's an extra £175 per £1000 added to the price of the car!
Most people buying new cars do not have a car to scrap.

The government win - more revenue gained in tax
The dealerships win - more sales and more interest
What does the customer gain? The customer loses out.... again!

7 days on the breadline

7 days on the breadline is a three part series starts tonight (at 9pm) on itv1 and for once it looks like being a series that is not about promoting former "celebs" - but looks at real people, ie. people like you and me.

I know how hard times are for most people, I am hoping the programme will show each real family:

  • walking across their town to pay out £100 for gas and electric, knowing that they won't have enough to last out the month and will have to go back and buy more.
  • the constant letters demanding money, phone calls that occur at meal times saying there are ways to write off their debts, the unlawful cold calls that continue when the customer has asked them to stop (and highlight how the customer has been ignored)
  • look at juggling their food budgets to pay for their council tax
  • highlight how long it takes and the struggle it is to get unenforceable bank charges reversed (and show how damaging this action is on the entire monthly budget of the household)

It is Keith Allen in tonights episode, he is regarded as a speaking his mind, hopefully his "fame" won't have blunted his tongue?

Who would be homeless in this weather?

As I stood on the doorstep tonight, having a customary smoke, I looked around the street (and the road running across the big hill over looking our estate) and felt the icy chill of the dry wind that was whistling around.
As with everything in life, I try to imagine myself in other's positions... tonight I imagined what it would be like, should everything I am lucky enough to have now, family, home, friends, etc, just vanished.

I imagined having nothing but the clothes on my back!

  • Where could I find shelter?
  • How would I manage to eat?
  • Where could I get warm?
  • Would I be able to sleep being outside in the harsh cold wind?

It was quite a sobering process, I came back in after my cigarette, just five minutes wondering, I couldn't think of any answers, the truth is, I don't know what I would do!

Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

Does Ed Miliband look like an extra from a Nick Park animation film or is it just me?

Christmas crackers are dangerous?

Marks & spencers have their new range of Christmas crackers in the shops, before you rush out and buy them please be advised they come with a clear WARNING!

Under the "Fireworks act" it is now illegal to sell christmas crackers (yes that is christmas crackers!) to anyone under the age of 16 years of age.

  • How many injuries have occured because of M&S christmas crackers?
  • How many customer complaints have they had as regards christmas crackers?
  • Which non job talking shop/quango, decided this would be a good use of the law?

Huge labels all over the packaging, now you need to provide ID to prove you are over 16 years of age before you can buy christmas crackers at Marks & spencers.
Is this applying common sense to the laws of this land?

I think not...